Commercial Investment Real Estate Winter 2020 | Page 12

WORLDVIEW: JAPAN Booming Metro Activity $14.78 billion Tokyo’s CRE sales volume through 3Q2019, making it Asia's most active metro area. Top 3 Sectors in Tokyo Office $1.83 billion Multifamily $770 million Hotel $110 million Cross-Border Investment Sources $550 million $1.11 billion $430 million Tokyo Price Points (Per SF) RETAIL OFFICE INDUSTRIAL UNITED STATES HONG KONG $1,505.21 $994.29 $185.40 Tokyo Cap Rates Industrial Office 5.1 % 3.9 % 3.5 % Retail SOUTH KOREA Data provided by Real Capital Analytics W hile the Japanese economy con- tinues its modest growth, with a 0.4 percent bump in gross do- mestic product for 3Q2019, the real estate market took a step back in the latter half of last year. Overall volume through the first nine months of 2019 totaled $24.3 billion, a 6 percent drop in year-over-year numbers, 10 COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE MAGAZINE according to Real Capital Analytics. More troubling, the total volume for that quarter was down 26 percent, to $5.3 billion. Despite global uncertainty related to tariffs and trade negotiations, Tokyo proved to be a bright spot for Japan. The massive metro market edged out Hong Kong in ac- tivity through 3Q2019, thanks in part to the ongoing political instability in China’s special administrative region. Despite expected quantitative easing in 2020, Japan’s sluggish economic growth has not diminished the relative appeal of overall returns from real assets. Urban investment, barring international political or economic disruption, should continue to be a strength. WINTER 2020