Commercial Investment Real Estate November/December 2018 | Page 19
Contributing Factors
No single culprit, but rather a perfect storm of factors, is driving
this situation.
Although rent growth is strong, the growth of construction
costs is outpacing any gains. A recent light incubator industrial
project in Contra Costa County utilizing concrete tilt-up con-
struction requires rents of $1.28 psf per month just to cover the
construction and soft costs, while the land cost pushes rents to
$1.50 psf per month to achieve an 8 percent return.
Approvals take longer, cost more, and face “not in my backyard”
(NIMBY) opposition. Hearing that although rents are skyrocket-
ing, the value of their land has not changed due to the higher devel-
opment costs, owners are not eager to part with their land.
Local non-governmental organizations extract expensive con-
cessions to allow development in their area.
Demand from emerging markets like cannabis drive up pric-
ing in areas with the proper zoning, virtually eliminating vacant
space in that area.
Finally, the conversion of industrial to residential land further
reduces the supply of land for industrial development.
Finding Resolution
Possible solutions to ease pressures include municipalities stream-
lining the approval process to reduce time frames, plus looking at
sewer and water fixture fees. Smaller multitenant
projects are vulnerable to these types of fees due
to the higher number of individual units/rest-
rooms for a given size compared to a single tenant
unit. Protection of existing industrial-zoned sites
from conversion to non-industrial uses is another
option. For example, in 2014, Contra Costa
County enacted a Northern Waterfront Eco-
nomic Development Initiative to protect existing
industrial-zoned land, but had limited success.
Ultimately, the industrial housing crisis across
the nation is a critical factor in continuing eco-
nomic growth. It’s important to facilitate the
development of smaller, incubator-style projects to
ensure an adequate supply of space for industrial
startups and help balance the need for industrial
housing with the rest of our needs for real estate.
Eric Rehn, CCIM, was 2017 president of the
CCIM Northern California Chapter and is a vice president with the
brokerage division of Kennedy Wilson in Concord, Calif., where
he specializes in the sale and leasing of investment properties
throughout Northern California, including light industrial and ware-
house properties. Contact him at [email protected].
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CCIM.COM
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