Commercial Investment Real Estate March/April 2017 | Page 18

INVESTMENT A N A LYSIS Shadow Banking With capital tougher to obtain, alternatives are cropping up. by Will McCabe A 16 March | April 2017 loans, and these loans represented a larger percentage of non- traditional debt as lenders pursued creative structures to meet the demand for capital. Enough time has passed to observe the risk of unsecured debt versus the relative safety of secured loans. Securing Debt While a personal guarantee from the borrower provides some safety for a lender, there is no doubt that it is easier to underwrite the value of real assets, such as real estate, equipment, or inven- tory, as opposed to gamble on a borrower’s net worth. Unsecured debt is exemplifi ed by a credit card. A borrower can effectively delay repayment obligations for years until the lender fi les a notice of default. The lender, however, is not compensated at this point. The dispute is taken to the courts, where the judge could potentially decide that the lender is not owed the principal balance in full. In contrast, foreclosing upon a real estate asset involves a notice of default, a cure period in which the length of time depends COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE fter the 2008 fi nancial crisis and the ensuing Great Recession, traditional lending sources were no longer able to make loans that had once easily passed through credit committee approval. As a result, the fl oodgates opened for nontraditional lending sources, stepping into the void left by the banks. In 2012, commercial mortgage-backed securities issuance vol- ume hit $48 billion, a fraction of 2007 issuance of $228 billion and tiny compared to 2013 commercial real estate debt maturity of $374 billion. While CMBS issuance has crept up since then, it is nowhere near pre-2007 levels, according to the Commercial Mortgage Report. The supply and demand imbalance has cre- ated an incredible opportunity for nontraditional debt capital providers. As private lenders and nimble debt funds began to form what is known as the shadow banking space, new challenges have emerged pertaining to risk management, as this was uncharted territory for regulators. Many lenders began making unsecured