Commercial Investment Real Estate July/August 2019 | Page 16

FINANCING FOCUS Knowing the Negative When interest rates decline and borrowers welcome more debt, what opportunities and challenges come with a negative leverage environment? by Doug Marshall, CCIM The Impact of Positive Leverage For much of the decade following the Great Recession, the U.S. was in a positive leverage environment. If you added another dollar of debt when financing your rental property, it had a posi- tive impact on the property’s cash-on-cash return. The more Table 1: How Leverage Impacts a Property’s Cash-On-Cash Return No Leverage Cash Flow Before Debt Service Proposed Mortgage Amount Interest Rate Amortization in Years Annual Mortgage Payments Cash Flow After Debt Service Equity Cash-On-Cash Return 50% Leverage 65% Leverage 75% Leverage 227,369 227,369 227,369 227,369 – 1,837,500 2,388,750 2,756,250 5.45% 5.45% 5.45% 5.45% 30 30 30 30 – 124,507 161,859 186,760 227,369 102,862 65,510 40,609 3,675,000 1,837,500 1,286,250 918,750 6.2% 5.6% 5.1% 4.4% the property was leveraged, the better the return. Financially, it made perfect sense to add as much debt as possible when financ- ing your property. But that situation ended last year. It was a seller’s market result- ing in very low cap rates, while interest rose roughly a full point. Those two factors can cause a negative leverage environment, which can affect assets across all classes. 14 July | August 2019 The Impact of Negative Leverage For most of 2018, we were in a negative leverage environment — meaning the more a property is leveraged with debt, the worse its cash-on-cash return. While in such a market, I helped a client secure financing for a triple net lease, single-tenant building. The property gener- ated cash flow of $227,369 annually before debt service. I asked my borrower, “How much debt do you want to finance your purchase?” I presented four financing options: no leverage and 50 percent, 65 percent, and 75 percent leverage. Table 1 illustrates the results of leverage on the property’s cash-on-cash return. Each column represents one of these four financing options. Owning the property debt-free resulted in a cash-on-cash return of 6.2 percent. As you can see in Table 1, the more debt that was added to the property, the lower the property’s cash-on-cash return. What is neutral leverage? I also wondered at what interest rate would adding debt result in neutral leverage? It turns out, in this case, an interest rate of 4.65 percent resulted in neutral leverage, as shown in Table 2. Some of you may be thinking that adding debt of any amount will always have a negative impact on the property’s cash-on-cash return. Not so. Look what happened when I lowered the interest rate to 4 percent. With a 4 percent interest rate, the more you leverage the prop- erty, the higher the cash-on-cash return. How did we go from a positive leverage to a negative leverage environment? For the past year, interest rates rose significantly without a cor- responding rise in cap rates. All else being equal, when interest COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE D iscussing commercial real estate financing causes some to quickly check out, their eyes glazed over. While the intricacies can seem boring and irrelevant at times, the devil really is in the details — and the effects of the leverage environment on cash-on-cash returns.