Commercial Investment Real Estate July/August 2016 | Page 9

Correction Ahead? 47 CRE execs picked the top 5 markets where the bubble could burst this year: 1 San Francisco F rancisco Retail Value 2 4 5 3 New York Chicago Washington, D.C. Boston Source: 2016 Real Confi dence Report With cap rates ranging from 8 to 8.5 percent and strong rent growth, these retail markets provide “sizable current income at a reasonable price,” according to Marcus & Millichap’s 2016 National Retail Forecast. “Th is dynamic, combined with supply increases of 1 percent or less this year, provides a robust margin of safety for investment.” 2016 Retail Rent Growth $psf Louisville, Ky. 5.3% $13.43 Columbus, Ohio 3.9% $11.89 Charlotte, N.C. 3.4% $14.73 Market Source: Marcus & Millichap “Light distribution facilities located near or within major metros are growing more popular with users seeking to meet consumer demands for same- and next- day delivery of goods.” — CBRE Research CCIM.com U.S. Offi ce Market Dashboard, 1Q16 Vacancy Lease rate Net absorption Completions  13.2%  $30.38 psf  5.6 msf  6.9 msf Source: CBRE Multifamily NOI by Complex Size Size More than 500 units 100 to 500 units Less than 100 units 2015 NOI Growth 4.0% 6.1% 4.9% Source: CoStar July | August | 2016 