Cold Link Africa March/April 2021 | Page 19

Many predict that the real economic effect of the Covid pandemic will hit households during 2021 – as peoples ’ financial reserves are drained , and as more businesses face closure and more join the unemployed .
INCORPORATING COLD CHAIN
ASSOCIATIONS

CGA collaboration delivers tonnes of produce to those in need

By Justin Chadwick

Many predict that the real economic effect of the Covid pandemic will hit households during 2021 – as peoples ’ financial reserves are drained , and as more businesses face closure and more join the unemployed .

There is a need for those who can , to

assist wherever possible in terms of the basic needs of these people . In 2020 the CGA initiated a donation programme called the Orange Heart Fruit Drive .
Growers and packhouses informed CGA of fruit available for distribution – and CGA worked through the Department of Social Development and Food Forward SA in distributing to those in need .
In 2020 , 1500 tonnes of citrus was distributed through this initiative . CGA is planning to continue with this initiative in 2021 – and the need is greater that before . The goal is to distribute at least 3 000 tonnes of fruit . Sive Silo is running this programme . If you are in a position to donate fruit ( any fruit ) then please contact Sieve by email at sive @ citrusacademy . org . za . We will also continue to send out more information to growers in future .
GROWTH WILL CONTINUE
Paul Hardman ( CGA Industry Affairs Manager ) recently updated the CGA Long Term Model . This model is used to predict export volumes of the various citrus commodities over the next 15 years .
Using a number of variables ( including tree census data , budwood sales , orchard replacement and removal , yields ,
Supply projections in the citrus industry indicate growth upto 260 million cartons in the next 10 years .
Eskom
packout percentages , expansion potential and planting densities ) the model has tracked actual volumes very closely in the past . The model is more accurate in the short term ( years one to ten ), and less accurate in years eleven to fifteen .
The model predicts a slightly higher volume for 2021 ( 148.8 million 15 Kg cartons ), increasing to 194 million cartons by 2025 , with 260 million predicted in the next ten years .
The actual performance will largely depend on the ability of government and industry to improve efficiencies in the logistics chain , and gain , retain and optimise market access . For any further details please contact us .
Citrus Growers Association
Long term crop prejections – model output .
STATISTICS
USDA Foreign Agricultural Services ( FAS ) recently released their document entitled ‘ Citrus : World markets and Trade ’ ( for a copy contact Justin ). In 2020 / 21 global production of citrus was 97.6 million tonnes ( above the 6-year average of 95.5 million tonnes ). Of this production 24 % was processed , while a mere 11 % was traded as exports , leaving 65 % consumed domestically . CLA

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