China Policy Journal Volume 1, Number 1, Fall 2018 | Page 79

China Policy Journal Based on the models “hypothesis 2” and “hypothesis 3” and the new framework for PES payment standard setting, we calculated two new PES payment schemes for the nine cities located along the main stream of the Xijiang Rivers, as shown in Table 4. For a specific city j, a negative number reported in the column titled signifies a loss of the welfare of a representative person of its population due to the transboundary pollution flowing from its upstream neighbor j−1. Therefore, we could use this number to time the population size of the city j to obtain its total welfare loss caused by the pollution from its upstream city j−1. To remedy such welfare loss, the amount that the upstream city k needs to transfer to city j should be equal to the absolute value of this product, as illustrated in the last two columns of Table 1. Additionally, in Table 5, we report the detailed bilateral transfers between cities according to their geographical location and the water quality situations in the transboundary sections between cities. The numbers proposed in the table were calculated according to equations (1) to (5). The upper panel of the table was based on the model “hypothesis 2”, and the lower panel was based on the model “Hypothesis 3”. A positive number signifies a transfer from city k (upstream) to city j (downstream) to remedy the negative externality caused by k to j, whereas a negative number means a transfer from city j (downstream) to city k (upstream) for the improvement of the water quality and, thus, a positive externality. There are several interesting and logical findings from the comparison between the results based on models “hypothesis 2” and “hypothesis 3”. For example, the “distance decay” nature of river water pollution can significantly reduce the compensation burden for the upstream polluters. Additionally, for a city located a very small distance along the river from its very-populous direct downstream neighbor, even a small amount of transboundary pollution signifies a large amount of compensation. In both cases, the distance plays a very important role in the determination of the compensation amount. 6. Discussion and Conclusion The new payment standard setting framework proposed in our paper directly concentrates measurements on the negative or positive externality caused by transboundary water pollution. This is very different from most of the previously mentioned preference studies, which focused on measuring the impacts of isolated and hypothetical quality changes in ecological services on people’s welfare that were rarely related to the transboundary pollution context. Based on the paper of He, Huang, and Xu (2015a), our new payment standard setting framework can propose both the total transfers that a city should make as a polluter or receive as a victim. This new framework also allows the calculation of the detailed bilateral monetary transfer between cities, depending on their location on the river and their contribution to the variation of water quality. One advantage of our approach is the possibility to not only 76