China Policy Journal Volume 1, Number 1, Fall 2018 | Page 67

China Policy Journal non-use values, which may represent a large percentage of the total value of the interested ecological services. A good example is the significance coefficients that He et al. (2015b) reported for the methodological dummies in their meta-analysis estimation function, which revealed the very large impact of methodological choices on the reported value of the ecological services provided by wetlands. It is relatively easy to accept the fact that the different evaluation methods propose relatively different valuation results for ecological services. There is another potential reason to explain the differences that has not yet gained enough attention in the literature: the ambiguity among the state preference valuation studies about “what” to evaluate. Consider the example of a typical payment scenario for ecological services related to a better water quality provided by an upstream region. Ideally, the downstream residents, as the beneficiaries of the improved ecological services provided by the better quality of river water flowing from the upstream regions, should only pay for the part of the increase in ecological services directly related to the better water quality contributed by the upstream regions. Such logic is already well reflected in the mechanism of some pilot PES projects, such as the trans-provincial project on the Xin’an River (2012–2014). This project required that the decision to transfer a proposed 500 million yuan between the upstream Anhui province and the downstream Zhejiang province be based on the water quality of the river section located in the congruent frontier between the two provinces. If the water quality meets the required class II level, the 500 million yuan will be transferred from Zhejiang to Anhui to compensate for their water pollution abatement efforts. Conversely, if the water quality does not meet the required level, the transfer will go from Anhui to Zhejiang province to compensate for the additional damage caused by the worse water quality. Whether to make a transfer depends on whether the Xin’an River water received by Zhejiang from Anhui meets the required quality target. Compared with this specificity, the welfare changes that many existing stated preference valuation studies measured unfortunately were wider; most of them focused on the potential reduction of local people’s well-being due to the changes in the quality of the local ecological service. For the case of river water pollution, the local water quality changes certainly “inherit” the pollution flows from the upstream regions but are also directly affected by the injection of pollution from local economic activities and everyday life. 4. A New Framework for Setting Payment Standards with the Stated Preference Methods Considering the above discussion, we use the following Figure 1 to illustrate the different sources of pollution in a transboundary river. Assuming that the river water at the starting point S has a quality equal to or better than level II, the river flows from the 64