China Policy Journal Volume 1, Number 1, Fall 2018 | Page 66

Payment for Ecological Services and River Transboundary Pollution trapolates the results obtained by one or many primary studies; it is thus not suitable for a primary study focusing on a specific test area. Compared with the abovementioned methods, the stated preference methods provide a more flexible approach and aim at establishing a hypothetical market framework; therefore, it can include in its assessment both the use value and the nonuse value of EGS. However, stated preference methods also face criticisms that are related to their hypothetical nature (e.g., Carson and Groves (2007); Harrison and Rutström 2008; List and Gallet 2001; Murphy et al. 2005) and its potential influence on collected answers from respondents, which may lead to either an over- or under-estimation of people’s WTP. Our review of the related literature provided us with a quite interesting picture about the academic efforts in evaluating such welfare benefits. Over the last several decades, many Chinese scholars conducted interesting case studies with the aim of stimulating discussion about how to set PES payment standards. Some of them employed diverse methods based on market prices or opportunity cost, such as Cai, Lu, and Song (2008), who calculated the total engineering cost of the construction project for the water source protection area in the eastern route of the South-to-North Water Transfer Project and proposed a cost-sharing plan between regions based on the potential added-value of the ecological service improvement that they would receive. Li et al. (2009) estimated the opportunity cost of the forest protection project on the mountainous regions of Hainan and proposed to determine the payment standard based on the land holdings of different regions. Shen et al. (2009) estimated the potential loss of agricultural production due to the Green Agricultural Demonstration Project on Chongming Island. We also found several papers that calculated the loss of economic development opportunities due to water conservation projects in some river drainage basins, such as Fu, Ruan, and Zhang (2011) for the Yongding river, Zhang (2011) for the Xijiang river and Shi et al. (2012) for the Dongjiang river. Other authors chose to evaluate the potential value of the conserved ecological services; for example, Xu et al. (2006) calculated the ecological service value of the Lianhua Reservoir ecological protection project, Huang, Luo, and Yang (2008) estimated the ecological service value of the Dayao Mountain’s water conservation project, Jin and Wang (2008) evaluated the use and non-use value of ecological services provided by the water conservation forest on Qilian Mountain and Cai et al. (2010) estimated the ecological service value of the wetlands in the Qilihai natural protection areas. However, is proposing some numbers better than having no numbers? One common difficulty that those studies faced was the big divergence between the numbers they proposed. Some of these differences can be explained by the differences in the methodologies used. For example, the methods based on the opportunity cost may only include the use value of the ecological services in their estimates, whereas the stated preference methods have the capacity to include the non-observable 63