China Policy Journal Volume 1, Number 1, Fall 2018 | Page 125

China Policy Journal dioxide) and NO 2 (nitrogen dioxide), and water quality measured by TSS (total suspended solids) and regulatory compliance percentage. Their pollution monitoring, inspection, and environmental information systems were well developed and well managed, primarily because of their long-standing experience with pollution registration requirements and China’s pollution charge system. 1 Table 3 shows that 36.7% of the firms in the sample were rated by the Green Watch program. The majority of the firms were assigned blue (60.38%) and yellow (22.37%); only a few earned the best (green) rating (2.96 %) or the worst (black—2.96%). The rating distributions were similar across cities, with the majority of firms rated blue and yellow, and very few green and black. 5. Multivariate Analysis The pollution data collected for this study were sufficiently detailed to permit assessment of Green Watch for both water and air pollution, measured by intensity and effluent concentration. Pollution intensity was calculated as the total emissions divided by the gross value of output. We use TSS, chemical oxygen demand (COD), and generated waste water to measure water pollution, and sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ), waste gas, dust, and smoke to measure air pollution. The dependent variables in our multivariate analyses are changes in pollution intensity and concentration for different pollutants. Let pollution intensity be specified as Y it for firm i in year t. The dependent variable for the intensity equation is the first difference, Y i,t − Y i,t-1 . The reduced-form fixed effects model for Y i,t − Y i,t-1 is (1) Y it −Y it-1 = β 0 + α 1 F it + α 2 C it + α 3 R it + β 1 t + µ i + ε it. where F it and C it are vectors of characteristics of the firm and the city; R it is a vector that incorporates both rating status (rated or unrated) and color-category assignments for rated firms; t is a time trend; µ i represents unobserved firm effects ; and ε it is a random error term. Specifically, firm characteristics in F it include the number of establishment years, firm size (e.g., large, medium, and small), ownership structure (e.g., state-owned enterprise, collectively owned enterprise, private companies, foreign companies, and companies with limited shares), and industry sectors (e.g., chemicals, fiber/rubber/plastic, food and beverage, machinery manufacture, medical, mining, pulp and paper, smelting, textile and leather, transportation, and utilities). City dummies are incorporated in C it to reflect differences between cities. Endogeneity is not a serious problem in this case, because ratings released in year t were based on multi-dimensional performance observations during year t – 1. If sample firms were randomly assigned to rated and unrated groups, we would not expect a statistical difference in intergroup pollution at t −1, before the first Green Watch disclosure in period t. 1 For discussion of firm-level pollution data in China, see Wang and Wheeler (2006). 122