technologies with a 16 percent CAGR. 1 Advanced autonomy
and human-AI collaboration grew by a modest nine percent
and one percent, respectively. The only segment that grew
beyond 10 percent was in fundamental research, driven
by machine learning, which had a 124 percent CAGR.
Defense components, including DARPA, drove the majority
of DoD’s AI investments with $600M spent over the time
period and a 48 percent share of total spending. The Air
Force led the Military Departments with a 31 percent share,
followed by the Navy (13 percent) and Army (eight percent).
DoD followed the NDS with an AI Strategy and the
creation of the Joint AI Center (JAIC) that aims to
accelerate DoD’s adoption of AI. Two key metrics for
the JAIC’s success are whether AI investments shift
from linear to exponential growth and if the Military
Departments assume a majority share of investments rather
than the Defense Agencies. The Department’s ability to
maintain its military advantage may rest upon it.
Govini’s AI taxonomy includes just those core programs at the forefront of developing DoD’s AI capability. It does not include all potential systems that
incorporate some element of AI (e.g., the F-35 ALIS program).
1
MEET ERIC GILLESPIE
Eric Gillespie is Founder and Executive Chairman of GOVINI and an Executive Member of the
Government Business Executive Forum (GBEF). He is the former Senior Vice President of
Onvia, a Nasdaq-listed firm that provides leads related to federal, state, and local government
procurement. Prior to Onvia, he was the Founder of The Patent Board, the leading provider of
standardized intellectual property data and patent analytics to the financial services industry,
and the creator of The Wall Street Journal’s Patent Scoreboard. Eric also held some senior
positions at IBM, Scient, and CSC. As an expert in the private sector’s use of public sector data,
he is a sought-after media spokesperson and has testified before the US Congress on matters
of government transparency, data and public sector technology.
Govini is the big data and analytics partner of CES Government and the GBEF.
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