Caribbean Investment IQ December 2013 | Page 36

St. Lucia Preliminary data shows that the St Lucian economy contracted by 0.8% in 2012, following a revised growth rate of 1.5% in 2011. The poor outturn was largely because of sluggish domestic demand as well as lower private investment, negatively affecting the distributive trade, construction, transport and communications sectors. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the St Lucian economy to expand by a marginal 0.2% in 2013 and 1.3% in 2014. The tourism industry, St. Lucia’s main economic driver, is estimated to contribute around 60% of GDP (direct and indirect) and is the country’s largest earner of foreign exchange. Developments in St Lucia in the first three months of 2013 point to an expansion in economic activity compared with the outturn in the corresponding period of 2012. The tourism industry continued to perform well, with stop over arrivals increasing 2.9% in the January – August 2013 period, the second best performance for the period among the ECCU member countries. Figure 19 Stop-Over Arrivals – Selected Caribbean Countries 6.00% 4.00% Barbados St Vincent & Gren Antigua and Barbuda Dominica Grenada Jamaica St Lucia St Kitts and Nevis Anguilla Jan-Jun Jan-Aug Jan-Jul Jan-Jul Jan-Jul Jan-Jun Jan-Jul Jan-Aug Jan-Jun Jan-Aug -4.00% Bahamas 2.00% -2.00% -6.00% -8.00% Source: Caribbean Tourism Organization 36 Caribbean Investment iQ December 2013 Inflation fell 0.9% (quarter on quarter) in the first three months of 2013, underpinned by declines in a range of prices, including food, utilities, fuels and gas, and transportation. The reduction in the overall index was tempered by increases in the sub-indices commu