Building Automated Trading Strategies October 2018 | Page 15

Common Modules for Creating Forecasting Indicators: These are some common forecasting modules: 1. Intermarket Correlations (correlations between different markets) 2. Volume Clustering (important changes in trading volumes can predict upcoming price movements) 3. Imbalances of Demand/Supply (changes in the volume of orders on one side may forecast upcoming price movements) 4. Asset Pricing Inefficiencies (comparing asset pricing to linked variables -such is the sectoral indexes for shares) 5. News Effect (the market’s reaction to news may create a predictable pattern) Tools for Creating and Optimizing Algorithmic Trading Systems These are some tools for building an algorithmic signaling machine: • Pattern Recognition (machine learning) • Order/Volume Breakout Analysis • Time Series Analysis • Intermarket Correlations Analysis • Market Sentiment Measures (data mining metrics of positivity/negativity of the language used in particular entities or events) • Historical Backtesting • Monte-Carlo Simulation (using random sampling to solve deterministic problems) • Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) Equation (central to optimal control theory) 15 / 64 « B u i l d i n g A u t o m a t e d T r a d i n g S t r a t e g i e s »