BritCham China Policy Insights July 2019 | Page 2

HOW BRITISH BUSINESSES IN CHINA SHOULD PREPARE FOR A NO-DEAL BREXIT The UK is scheduled to exit the European Union on the 31st October 2019. With the final two Conservative Party leadership candidates, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, refusing to rule out the possibility of a no-deal Brexit, British businesses must now prepare for the potential subsequent fallout. A no-deal Brexit would mean the end of the UK’s access to the European Single Market and Customs Union, replaced by alignment with World Trade Organisation rules on cross-border trade. Continued uncertainty over a future Brexit deal has shaken business confidence in the UK, with 22% of firms reporting plans to reduce investment in the UK and 20% planning to move capacity to mainland Europe. 1 However, British businesses largely believe that their China operations are insulated from the potential effects of a no-deal Brexit, with 56% of members reporting that they expected there to be no impact from a no-deal Brexit on their China revenues and only 24% expecting their business to be negatively affected, 2 according to the Member Sentiment Survey produced by the British chambers of commerce in China. Are businesses right to feel removed from the ripple effects of a no-deal Brexit scenario? We consulted with several client services firms with expert knowledge on the subject, who gave the following advice for businesses to re- evaluate their assessment of insulation from Brexit. BRITCHAM POLICY INSIGHTS| PAGE 1