BPM's Real Estate Insights 2019 Volume 01 | Page 6

How Aging Americans Will Change Real Estate: Insights From Mary O’Hara- Devereaux, Futurist, Researcher and Author By Mark Leverette You may hear a lot about how Baby Boomers and Millennials are changing the current landscape, but Gen-Xers may be the ones shifting real estate trends in the next two decades. That’s because modern-day Americans are expected to live longer than ever before, and thanks to technology in the health sector and beyond, they’ll likely be living at home alone for a lot longer, too. These are just some of the forecasts from Mary O’Hara- Devereaux, a researcher who focuses on the intersection of a variety of current trends to forecast the ways of the future. She recently shared some insight on where she believes real estate trends are headed, and why, and most of them touch on technology. Technology is Extending Life Expectancy and Ability to Live Independently The ability to find, treat, cure and prevent illnesses—among other things—is leading to longer lifespans, and modern-day technology is to thank. “We will see more of it in the San Francisco Bay Area, the epicenter of new technology, because the future doesn't arrive everywhere all at the same time,” said O’Hara-Devereaux. “So, you'll see things like more-autonomous vehicles here, and in a few other big metro areas in the United States, before you're going to see them in Winnemucca or Salt Lake City.” Invest in Real Estate near Tech- Driven Cities and Healthcare Centers Since senior-driven technology will be in big cities first, retiring in the suburbs will likely become a thing of the past. Aging Americans are going to want to live where life is easy and they can live autonomously, so they are going to stay in, or move to, a metropolitan area. “In the past, we found that families came together and then industry was formed around them. Now, there's some gravity to already-formed industries and healthcare infrastructure,” In fact, the number of people older than 65 in America is expected to approximately double—from 48 million to 88 million—by 2050, according to a U.S. Census Bureau report. “The biggest effects we are going to see come from the fact that between now and 2030 we are going to double the size of the Senior Californians (people over 65 years old),” said O’Hara-Devereaux. Technology will not only continue to allow people to live longer, but also to live independently longer. “There's a lot of single, older people, and this is a big change,” said O’Hara-Devereaux. “In fact, most people over 50 years of age in California right now are single. Anytime something gets this big, it's very impactful.” In addition to medical advancements, other technologies will pave the way for seniors to live on their own in the future. Current tech tools, like wearable medical alert devices, grocery-delivery apps and virtual doctor visits, are already doing this. But futuristic technology, like self-driving cars, will make independent living an even more viable option for those without spouses or adverse to nursing care. 6 BPM Real Estate Insights (Continued on Next Page )