BBALLBREAKDOWN Oct. 2015 | Page 26

Inside The Numbers By Jeff Feyerer Photo: USA TODAY Sports After a highly publicized contract negotiation, Tristan Thompson and the Cavaliers finally agreed on a 5-year, $82 million extension just in time for the regular season. And while Thompson was a vital cog in the Finals, his contract likely exceeds his value—having leveraged a rising salary cap and Cleveland’s lack of alternative options to obtain a significant raise. Parsing through the team’s on/ off numbers from last season gives a good indication of Thompson’s true value. Of the Cavalier’s key rotation pieces, Thompson had the lowest rating—his +2.8 per 100 possessions roughly half of J.R. Smith’s, the next lowest. Though the Cavaliers were still better than opponents with Thompson on the floor, the gap was diminished. At 24-years old, entering his fifth season, Thompson still leaves more off the table than he brings to it. Though he’s one of the preeminent offensive rebounders in the league, finishing with the fourth highest percentage, he appears to be up against his ceiling with the ball in his hands. Thompson did manage to raise his field goal percent from 47.7 percent to 54.7, largely by redistributing 23 percent of his shot attempts to within three feet of the rim. Though he isn’t a great rim protector (one block per 36 minutes last year), he slides his feet well at the point of attack and can work in tandem with Timofey Mozgov. pick and roll partner should provide a fair enough return on investment. But that figure will loom large as Mozgov approaches his own free agency, with Love on board for the long run and Anderson Varejao’s contract likely untradeable. The team will be able to attract solid contributors at the end of their line thanks to the presence of LeBron James, but in order to justify this contract, Thompson will have to show he can manage manning the center position alongside Love. Cleveland is unquestionably the Eastern Conference favorite due to LeBron James, but the best possible Going over the cap isn’t a version of this Cavaliers team has concern given the deep pockets of Dan Gilbert, but tying up $16 million Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love on the floor. And while Thompson a year for a non-starter in an area with depth looks, on the surface, like undoubtedly makes them better, that’s a large contract for someone a mismanagement of resources. So who plays the same position that two long as LeBron James remains near the height of his powers, Thompson’s of his three best teammates thrive at. role as a low usage, high efficiency BBALLBREAKDOWN.COM | 26