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Banking & finance annual report Feeling edgy Brexit dealt a blow to banking and finance lawyers as investors got nervous, and this uncertainty looks set to continue – however, this problem will be partly offset by a new wave of foreign investors and direct lenders that are targeting the Iberian market Banking and finance lawyers claim that, in general, the market is improving and that there are currently good opportunities for law firms. However, it’s not all been plain sailing. Brexit, in particular, had the effect of unsettling investors, and a number of lawyers in Spain report that the flow of deals slowed as businesses’ took time to digest the implications of the UK’s historic referendum. Though investment activity picked up again in the latter part of 2016, the UK government’s recent invoking of Article 50 – which begins the process of withdrawing from the European Union – could mean that deals start stalling once again, lawyers warn. That said, it’s not all doom and gloom – institutional investors are targeting Spanish assets, while there is also high demand for legal services from construction companies seeking to refinance debt. In addition, an array of non- traditional lenders are also currently looking for business in Spain. Meanwhile, in Portugal, banks are frantically trying to clear up their balance sheets – there is a consequently a massive amount of non-performing loan portfolios, for example, that need to be shifted and this is an area that is providing rich pickings for lawyers in Lisbon. Meanwhile, new players are entering the market as the country’s banks pass into foreign ownership. In addition, shadow banking – specifically, lending by private equity funds and insurance companies – is on the increase. Deal flow was affected by the Brexit vote last year, says Allen & Overy partner Ignacio Ruiz-Camara. “There was a slowdown for a couple of months,” he adds. Despite this, Ruiz-Camara says it was a busy year in which a wide range of financing options came to market, with project bond structures being “particularly successful”. He adds that there were www.iberianlawyer.com also a significant number of sales of non-performing loans. Volatile market According to one partner, 2017 has been “somewhat uncertain and volatile”. He adds that, though deals continue to flow, there is a degree of political uncertainty – the partner, who works in the Madrid office of a ‘Magic Circle’ firm, expresses some doubt that Brexit will “actually happen”, despite the UK’s invoking of Article 50, which begins the formal process of withdrawal from the European Union. He continues: “For investment bankers in London, it’s business as usual.” One of the most significant developments in the last year has been banks offering more friendly terms for borrowers says one partner. “Banking deals now have terms that are more appropriate for borrowers,” she says. Meanwhile, Uría Menéndez partner Ángel Pérez López says the traditional banks are now facing significantly more competition “not only among themselves but also with some direct lenders as well as the capital markets”. Pérez López also says that Spanish real estate investment trusts, SOCIMIS [Sociedades Anónimas Cotizadas de Inversión en el Mercado Inmobiliario], are the most active players in real estate financing, acquiring commercial real estate such as shopping malls, office buildings and hotels. In addition, distressed M&A deals are also generating significant work for banking lawyers, as are sales of non-performing loans. In this regard, Pérez López says the volume of transactions involving secured non-performing loans now exceeds that involving unsecured non-performing loans. He adds that 2017 is expected to be a “very active year for distressed M&A due to new banking regulations on risk policies and loss allowances, which will be effective on 1 January 2018 and will foster plenty of divestments before that date.” There is currently a massive amount of liquidity in the market, according to Gómez-Acebo & Pombo partner Rafael Aguilera. He adds that Spanish credit funds have entered the market in the last year, as well as institutional investors, to finance Spanish companies. However, Aguilera adds that he is pessimistic about Brexit: “There was a slowdown of transactions due to Brexit and my concern is that this slowdown may return following the UK’s invoking of Article 50.” Considerable opportunities for banking lawyers are being generated in the construction sector as construction companies look to refinance their debt, lawyers say. Meanwhile, Brexit could mean that Spanish law is increasingly used when drawing up contracts, according to Cuatrecasas partner Iñigo de Luisa. “Because of the Brexit-related uncertainties, we already see more reliance on Spanish law with regard to finance documentation,” he says. “There March / April 2017 • IBERIAN LAWYER • 27 >>