Banker S.A. September 2013 | Page 45

SWIFT white paper Africa Payments: Insights into African transaction flows Executive summary This report uses SWIFT’s unique data to map trade flows against financial flows for the first time, revealing a new perspective on Africa’s transaction flows. Underscoring the importance of trade corridors between Africa and Asia Pacific and the higher than expected intra-Africa volumes, it also identifies potential drivers for change and the impact thereof on banks doing business in Africa and with Africa. The SWIFT report suggests an evolution towards fewer but larger pan-African banks – rather than a revolution in the transaction banking landscape in Africa – and a gradual pressure to adapt to new dynamics in the currency environment. Commercial banks, regulators and other actors in the African financial industry must watch carefully the evolution of transaction flows in order to anticipate market shifts. Current financial flows do not reflect the magnitude of commercial flows between African countries and Asia Pacific • While 22% of the commercial payments from Africa will end up in Asia Pacific, only 5% of the financial flows go directly to that region. • Banks in North America receive almost 40% of the payments sent by Africa, versus only 9% of the commercial flows. • A total of 48% of intra-African import/export settlement involves intermediation by a bank outside of Africa. The US dollar prevails as the dominant trade currency and the EUR is rarely used for transactions with clients that are not based in the Eurozone. • Almost 50% of commercial payments sent from Africa are denominated in USD. • At the same time, more than 80% of the dollar transactions sent from Africa to the US have their financial beneficiary in another region. • Only 15% of euro payments from Africa are eventually transferred outside of the Eurozone. The relative importance of US dollar clearing banks has increased in the past 10 years The market share of USD clearing banks has grown rather than diminished in the past decade – rising from just under 25% to almost 40% – even while trade with Asia has increased at the expense of trade with the US. Part of this may be attributed to flows with Asia that are denominated in USD and are intermediated by banks in the United States. However, several environmental factors may drive change in crossborder transaction flows. This could lead to a reshaping of pan-African banking, shifts in currency usage and the opportunity for multi-currency regional clearing in Africa. Political will to regionalise, raise FDI attractiON and foster more intra-Africa trade Boosting intra-African trade still further is important, as it has huge potential to create employment, be a catalyst for investment and to boost growth in Africa. As a result, political backing for regional integration projects that support these aims is likely to impact transaction flows. The demand side of the African market is expanding and evolving Corporates are the primary driver of cross-border transactions. As they expand across and out of Africa, their needs will evolve. This will lead to demand for new products and services, and deeper relationships with banks in key markets. International regulatory pressures also impact cross-border transactions New regulations and compliance requirements (for example, know your customer and anti-money laundering processes) are making it increasingly expensive for banks in the United States and Europe to do business with small and unknown counterparties. SWIFT data shows that American and European banks have already shrunk their African banking network. This opens the way for larger African transaction banks to position themselves as a gateway to other markets in Africa. Financial market infrastructures modernising African countries are investing in financial markets infrastructures (FMIs), many at a regional level. Policy makers recognise that payment systems and other infrastructures play a huge role in fostering and deepening economic development. Along with harmonised legal and regulatory frameworks, robust regional FMIs will make intra-region payments more competitive and reduce the need for foreign financial intermediation. ■ Edition 7 Subbed Banker 7 SWIFT .indd 43 BANKER SA 43 2013/10/15 11:11 AM