Banker S.A. June 2013 | Page 67

BANKING NEWS South African News Decline in banking M&A: a fundamental shift [SA NEWS] Recent years’ decline in banking Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) is not simply due to a cyclical downturn but represents changes in the regulatory and economic environment, according to research from PwC. RECENT POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC uncertainty is making it difficult to agree on valuations, predict future impairments, arrange funding and gain shareholder approval. The market instability is also having an effect on deal confidence, and therefore frustrating M&A activity. ‘The picture is less gloomy in South Africa than in Europe and the US, but some financial institutions still have some significant restructuring ahead of them,’ says Tom Winterboer, PwC Financial Services Leader for Africa and Southern Africa. ‘Africa has the potential to generate increasing volumes of banking M&A over the next few years. ‘South African banks are among those looking to other African markets for future growth, and the country remains the leading gateway into Africa for foreign entrants. Most major African domestic banks have international strategic or equity partners, but there is still potential for inbound M&A.’ Winterboer says that South Africa’s major banks’ earnings growth and returns on equity compare favourably with those of its global peers. PwC’s report “Brave new world: New frontiers in banking M&A” identified a range of factors driving a change in the financial sector. These include fiscal pressures, regulatory reform, customer behaviour, and the shortage of skills, economic shifts and the future of M&A activity in the sector. Simon Venables, PwC Head of Deals for Africa, says: ‘The total number and value of global banking M&A transactions has declined steadily over the past few years. Banking deals have consistently accounted for the majority of financial services M&A over the past decade. The decline in M&A over the past three years – or excluding government-led deals, over the past five years – is not just a cyclical downturn; there are permanent changes taking p