BAMOS Vol 33 No.2 June 2020 | Page 23

BAMOS Jun 2020 23 Figure 2: Estimated tornado path and damage indicators used to assess the tornado intensity rating. Source: Bureau of Meteorology Tornado Damage Assessment A damage assessment was conducted by the Bureau of Meteorology from 14:00 AEST on Wednesday 20 May 2020, 13 hours after the tornado event and found 21 damage indicators, of which 10 damage indicators were used to estimate the intensity of the tornado using the Enhanced Fujita Scale (EF‐scale) and associated damage assessment process. Damage largely consisting of roof tiles blown off, particularly along the ridge lines, trees and fences blown over, sheds and trampolines blown and twisted, and evaporative air conditioning condensation towers being blown up to two houses away was observed with a width of approximately 60–80 metres. The more significant damage appeared to have occurred on the northern side of the damage path with a width of approximately 20–30 metres which consisted of increased roof coverage being removed, windows and doors being blown and smashed inwards, garage doors blown in or collapsed, the complete collapse and destruction of pergolas, patios and garages, as well as collapsed interior roofs which were associated with rain ingress resulting from the loss of roofing material. Several hardwood gum trees in Mount Duneed had their branches snapped aloft, some of reasonable size >10 cm in diameter, defoliated and in a handful of cases, trunks were snapped 1–3 metres above the ground. The most extensive damage was observed to be between 20 and 30 metres wide which was consistent with that observed with property damage in Waurn Ponds suggesting that the track of most intense damage remained narrow over an extended distance and did not broaden as would be expected with thunderstorm downbursts and thus, providing increased evidence for a tornado. Approximate Tornado Path The path of the tornado illustrated in Figure 2 was approximated from a combination of radar data, SES RFA data, damage assessment, witness statements and CCTV footage. The observed tornado track during the damage assessment was approximately 3.8 km in length. The tornado was estimated to have tracked towards the southeast at approximately 90 km/h derived from both the damage assessment and confirmed by radar data, covering the total estimated tornado path in just under 3 minutes. Damage Assessment Process Tornado damage assessment estimates were conducted by identifying representative Damage Indicators (DI) and assigning a Degree of Damage (DOD) based on visible damage as per McDonald and Mehta (2004). The ‘expected’ value of wind speed provides an estimate of the 3‐second wind gust speed based on a set of “normal” conditions, whilst the upper bound and lower bound estimates of wind speed account for circumstances that may cause the actual wind speed associated with the damage to deviate from the expected wind speed. The ‘expected’ wind speed estimate for each DI is then categorised by the EF‐scale and assigned a tornado intensity rating, e.g. EF1, EF2. Rating Enhanced Fujita Scale Estimated 3‐second Wind Gust Speed (km/h) EF0 105–137 EF1 138–178 EF2 179–218 Table 1: Enhanced Fujita Scale tornado intensity ratings and associated estimated 3‐second wind gust speeds adapted from McDonald and Mehta (2004) Table 6 and converted to metric units. EF3 219–266 EF4 267–322 EF5 >322