AST Digital Magazine September 2017 AST Digital Magazine September 2017 | Page 7

Volume 16
September 2017 Edition
Phase III – Continuous Improvement
The third phase is ongoing, and in a state of con-
tinuous improvement. The process must be enhanced based
on information from officers in the field
and lessons learned.
Staff from all five of the Department’s divisions
meet with the crime analysts to review the fore-
casts for each district during the monthly ICAP
meeting. As Project Forebode continues, the crime ana-
lysts are asked different, in depth questions by
the officers, Captains and Deputy Chiefs that
they use to improve their analysis.
This is where the captain looks for valuable hu-
man intelligence by asking analysts and the of-
ficers’ questions about what is happening in the
field. ICAP team members are asking for new ways to
look at the data, to find additional connections
that will improve their prevention and response
plans.
The meeting seeks to identify what the officers
can provide to help explain trends and activity the
analysts are reporting in specific districts.
Based on the forecasts and the feet-on-
the-street knowledge, ICAP identifies a
primary “Focus” area and a secondary
district that both receive increased at-
tention.
The secondary area receives the recurring calls
for service and the “Focus” area receives the
calls for service along with additional efforts and
resources from all five of the divisions.
(Learn More, from this full panel interview, featuring Chief
Eric Jones, Stockton Police Department, Michael Tubbs,
Mayor, City of Stockton, Kurt O. Wilson, City Manager, City
of Stockton and various community leaders & fellow depart-
ments. Posted on Mar 27, 2017)
The program is popular internally, and it is
helping with recruiting – young people inter-
ested in law enforcement careers are excit-
ed to see the department is embracing new
tools and technologies.
As for its impact on violent firearm-related crime,
early results have been promising.
ACA Prediction Zone, LexisNexis
The ICAP team discusses specific actions to
take, such as specific enforcement and outreach
to the community, all with the aim of maintaining
police visibility in the targeted areas.
It is not enough to rely on consistent parameters
for the forecast, human intelligence is a neces-
sity.
From March through May 2016, the department
saw a 40 percent to 60 percent reduction month-
to-month in the selected zones.
Accompanying that, during the same time peri-
od there was a 20 percent to 30 percent drop in
property crimes.
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