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SPOTLIGHT to identify risk factors for severity and mortality. According to Dr. Akdis, the preliminary analysis revealed that a continuing increase of leukocyte and neutrophil counts, sustained lymphopenia, progressing decrease in platelet counts, and a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were associated with in-hospital death. 9 A study from the Beijing Ditan Hospital in China, available as a preprint, prospectively analyzed 61 patients with SARS-CoV-2 admitted to the hospital in January 2020 for prognostic factors of severe COVID-19 illness.10 As with Dr. Akdis’ analysis, these researchers also identified a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as an independent risk factor for severe illness. Older age (>50 years) and a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio of ≥3.13 were associated with severe COVID-19 illness. The study authors recommended that patients with these factors have rapid access to the intensive care unit at a hospital. Timing and quality of the immune response appear to be important for the course of disease and its severity. “The timing for development of the naturalizing antibody response is likely a decisive factor for the body’s ability to clear the infection,” said Dr. Akdis. “If the response is too slow, the lymphopenia ensues and there could be little chance for developing a robust neutralizing antibody response. The helper and cytotoxic T cells are getting lost and there is no help for antibody production.” “What we don’t fully understand is whether the inability to respond to the viral infection is a consequence of the lymphopenia in patients with COVID-19,” said Dr. Avigan. “Does the lymphopenia prevent an individual from mounting a robust antibody response, for example? There are many studies ongoing to understand what roles different parts of the immune system – the cellular and humoral components – play in creating protection and effective responses to fight the virus.” Dr. Sereti and her NIH colleagues are currently conducting such a study, collecting samples from patients at various stages of their disease to capture what the immune system looks like in response to a coronavirus infection. They hope to figure out a comprehensive picture of individual immune responses to the virus. “Comparing the immune profiles of the elderly, who generally have weaker lymphocytes, with the immune profiles of children, for example, could provide particularly good clues because we know that children generally have mild disease,” she explained. Thus far, study results suggest that lymphopenia may be a useful prognostic marker, but additional prospective studies are needed to validate these results. “If there is viral-mediated inflammation, the lymphocyte depletion may be an initial step in this cascade and, in that way, lymphopenia may be an early marker to help guide clinical care to try to prevent further damaging inflammation,” said Dr. Avigan. Treating Viral Infection and Lymphopenia While researchers try to understand why lymphopenia develops in patients with COVID-19, clinicians are learning which treatments are appropriate for which patients – and when. Therapeutic options for which there is some evidence of efficacy include antiviral drugs such as remdesivir and anti-inflammatory drugs such as low-dose dexamethasone. In late June, scientists at the University of Oxford in the U.K. announced results from the RECOVERY study, which compared a range of possible treatments with usual care among 2,104 patients hospitalized with COVID-19. The commonly used corticosteroid dexamethasone reduced deaths by one-third among ventilated patients (rate ratio [RR] = 0.65; 95% CI 0.48-0.88; p=0.0003) and by one-fifth in patients receiving only oxygen (RR=0.80; 95% CI 0.67-0.96; p=0.0021), compared with usual care. 11 “It appears that the immune response to the virus is what is killing the tissues, not the virus itself,” Dr. Akdis commented. “If we can suppress the dysregulated immune response and inflammation, then patients can get better before being admitted to the intensive care unit or requiring ventilation.” Drs. Sereti and Avigan concurred. “At the point when there is severe inflammation, or when the trajectory goes toward severe inflammation, it makes sense to suppress the immune response,” Dr. Sereti said. In contrast, experts hypothesize that immune stimulation could be effective during earlier stages of the disease. One such therapeutic option being explored in clinical trials is interleukin-7 (IL-7), a cytokine required for the development of T lymphocytes. According to Dr. Sereti, IL-7 should also be considered in combination with a vaccine, as a booster of a vaccine response – especially in older patients, who are more likely to have a weaker immune response to some vaccines. 12 For a disease that only emerged in December 2019, the worldwide clinical and scientific community has learned a lot about the pathophysiology of a SARS-CoV-2 infection and how to care for patients with severe manifestations of COVID-19. However, there is still much to be learned. “What is the best timing and sequence of therapies and whether there are patients for whom anti-inflammatory treatment would exacerbate their disease – we don’t know,” Dr. Sereti said. “Again, the question about COVID-19–related lymphopenia is whether it is a measure of an individual’s immune competence, which speaks to whether they can fight off the virus, or is it a surrogate for a certain kind of inflammation?” said Dr. Avigan. The explanation may be complicated. “We may find that the answer is different for different individuals.” —By Anna Azvolinsky References 1. Chen G, Wu D, Guo W, et al. Clinical and immunological features of severe and moderate coronavirus disease 2019. J Clin Invest. 2020;130:2620-2629. 2. Zhao Q, Meng M, Kumar R, et al. Lymphopenia is associated with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections: A systemic review and metaanalysis. Int J Infect Dis. 2020;96:131-135. 3. Guan WJ, Ni ZY, Hu Y, et al. Clinical characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019 in China. N Engl J Med. 2020;382:1708-1720. 4. Brown RAC, Barnard J, Harris-Skillman E, et al. Lymphocytopaenia is associated with severe SARS-CoV-2 disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical data. medRxiv preprint. April 17, 2020. 5. Chen IY, Moriyama M, Chang MF, Ichinohe T. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus viroporin 3a activates the NLRP3 inflammasome. Front Microbiol. 2019;10:50. 6. Yang M. Cell pyroptosis, a potential pathogenic mechanism of 2019-nCoV infection. SSRN. 2020 January 29. 7. Gu J, Gong E, Zhang B, et al. Multiple organ infection and the pathogenesis of SARS. J Exp Med. 2005;202:415-424. 8. Zeidan AM, Boddu PC, Patnaik MM, et al. Special considerations in the management of adult patients with acute leukaemias and myeloid neoplasms in the COVID-19 era: recommendations from a panel of international experts. Lancet Haematol. 2020 June 18. [Epub ahead of print] 9. Zhang JJ, Cao YY, Tan G, et al. Clinical, radiological and laboratory characteristics and risk factors for severity and mortality of 289 hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Authorea. 2020 June 8. 10. Liu J, Liu Y, Xiang P, et al. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts severe illness patients with 2019 novel coronavirus in the early stage. medRxiv preprint. February 12, 2020. 11. University of Oxford press release. Low-cost dexamethasone reduces death by up to one third in hospitalised patients with severe respiratory complications of COVID-19.” Accessed June 16, 2020, from https://www.recoverytrial.net/ news/low-cost-dexamethasone-reduces-death-by-up-to-one-third-inhospitalised-patients-with-severe-respiratory-complications-of-covid-19. 12. ClinicalTrials.gov. InterLeukin-7 (CYT107) to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Lymphopenic pAtients With COVID-19 Infection UK Cohort (ILIAD-7- UK). Accessed June 25, 2020, from https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/ NCT04379076. 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