Arlington Municipal Airport Development Plan Arlington Airport Development Plan | Page 71
20 percent. This is a reflection of what occurred nationwide, as the total number of registered aircraft
in the United States decreased by approximately 10 percent during this time.
The current number of registered aircraft in Tarrant County is similar to what was experienced in the
mid‐to‐late 1990s. Nonetheless, the historical trend shows that the number of registered aircraft has
increased in the past and these increases have typically coincided with periods of sustained economic
growth nationally.
Since the number of registered aircraft in Tarrant County has declined annually since 2011, various re‐
gression and time‐series analyses did not result in a reliable forecast. Therefore, several market share
and historical growth forecasts of registered aircraft for Tarrant County have been developed and are
presented in Table 2E.
TABLE 2E
Registered Aircraft Forecasts
Tarrant County
Tarrant County
U.S. Active
Market Share
Tarrant County
Aircraft per
Year
Registered Aircraft
Aircraft
of U.S. Active Aircraft
Population
1,000 Population
2000
2,376
217,533
1.09%
1,446,219
1.64
2001
2,470
211,446
1.17%
1,448,516
1.71
2002
2,468
211,244
1.17%
1,523,284
1.62
2003
2,352
209,606
1.12%
1,552,186
1.52
2004
2,379
219,319
1.08%
1,580,347
1.51
2005
2,414
224,257
1.08%
1,642,950
1.47
2006
2,420
221,942
1.09%
1,645,083
1.47
2007
2,489
231,606
1.07%
1,709,745
1.46
2008
2,506
228,664
1.10%
1,749,974
1.43
2009
2,520
223,876
1.13%
1,789,900
1.41
2010
2,597
223,370
1.16%
1,809,034
1.44
2011
2,362
220,770
1.07%
1,847,156
1.28
2012
2,197
209,034
1.05%
1,880,153
1.17
2013
2,060
202,865
1.02%
1,911,541
1.08
2014
2,053
203,020*
1.01%
1,924,822*
1.07
Constant Market Share Projection of U.S. Active Aircraft (AAGR ‐ 0.32%)
2019
2,081
205,140
1.01%
1,992,626
1.04
2024
2,121
209,040
1.01%
2,143,494
0.99
Historical Average Market Share Projection of U.S. Active Aircraft (AAGR ‐ 1.09%)
2019
2,245
205,140
1.09%
1,992,626
1.13
2024
2,288
209,040
1.09%
2,143,494
1.07
Constant Ratio Projection per 1,000 County Residents (AAGR ‐ 1.11%)
2019
2,132
205,140
1.04%
1,992,626
1.07
2024
2,294
209,040
1.10%
2,143,494
1.07
Historical Average Ratio Projection per 1,000 County Residents (AAGR ‐ 3.94%)
2019
2,810
205,140
1.37%
1,992,626
1.41
2024
3,022
209,040
1.45%
2,143,494
1.41
* Estimated
Source: FAA Aircraft Registry Database; FAA Aerospace Forecasts – Fiscal Years 2014‐2034; U.S. Census Bureau; Texas Water
Development Board; Coffman Associates analysis
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