Architect and Builder August/September 2019 | Page 18

If it’s all doom and gloom, why so many cranes on the skyline? By Patrick McInerney Co-Arc International Architects T his year’s SAPOA Con- vention was probably the most downbeat that I’ve attended in my many years in the building industry. The majority of speakers gave us bad news – ranging from water scarcity problems through to concerns about the oversupply of property, the industry’s talent drain and government’s lack of policy certainty. I know I wasn’t the only attendee to come away disheartened. It’s feasible that some negativity was orchestrated to send government a message. But there were 18 probably people who decided to leave South Africa based on what they were told in that conference room. As I pondered what I’d heard, I realised that all this negativity is ridiculous! Why, I asked myself, if things are so bad do we have a record number of building cranes operating in places such as Sandton, Rosebank and Cape Town? How, if the building industry is on the brink of implo- sion as some would have us believe, is it possible to have more cranes working on construction projects than at any time since the 1960s? Have we got less policy certainty than in 1994? I am certainly not one to put my head in the sand as to the problems we’re facing as an industry. But I believe we’re in danger of creating a self-fulfilling prophecy by ignoring the many positives and talking ourselves into a self-created downturn. Those hard-working cranes Part of the reason for the abovementioned cranes is the enormous property boom in the central nodes. Many new A-grade buildings are coming on stream and being filled by tenants previously in B-grade buildings. So there’s now an oversupply of B-grade property and, because of Cranes