Apparel Online Bangladesh Magazine September Issue 2018 | Page 14

COVER STORY India, an emerging market ... Next EU or US for Bangladesh? Export figures & growth rate, retail boom point towards increased importance of India from Bangladesh’s perspective F ormer Governor of the Bangladesh Bank, Dr Atiur Rahman, recently observed that Bangladesh’s export to India can potentially rise by 300 per cent. His observations are not without reasons. As per experts, India is at the threshold of a retail revolution. Change in income structure, rise of middle class with increasing disposable income, steady economic growth, entry of foreign retailers, increase in both per capita consumption and average spending on apparel, are some of the factors which are expected to fuel this retail boom. No wonder the Indian retail market, which was worth US $ 641 billion in 2016 is expected to touch an overwhelming US $ 1,576 billion by 2026, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10 per cent, while the fashion retail market (currently US $ 50 billion) is expected to grow at a promising CAGR of 7.7 per cent to reach US $ 104 billion by 2027. With a GDP growth rate of 7 per cent, India after all, holds an edge over the developed markets of the US, Europe and Japan (which are expected to grow at a rate of 2-3 per cent only). Currently, menswear is the biggest segment within the India apparel market and is estimated to increase at a CAGR of 9 per cent to reach US $ 39.6 billion by 2023. This is opening up a new window of opportunity for the Bangladeshi apparel exporters who are keen to capitalise on this burgeoning prospect to diversify markets and minimise dependence on the traditional export destinations of US and EU to propel growth. Global retail giants like H&M and Walmart have also joined the bandwagon and started sourcing from Bangladesh to cater to the Indian consumers, with many more following suit. Currently, menswear is the biggest segment within the Indian apparel market and is estimated to increase at a CAGR of 9 per cent to reach US $ 39.6 billion by 2023. Shirts, trousers, denim, etc. largely dominate this segment but there are also categories like winterwear, innerwear, T-shirts, suits, etc, which too, hold a lot of promise. With an increase in fashion- consciousness and growing number of working women, the womenswear section is expected to rival the menswear domain in near future. The Bangladesh advantage… Interestingly, Bangladesh is very strong in the categories that 14 Apparel Online Bangladesh | September 2018 | www.apparelresources.com Indian retail is growing in and the results are there for everyone to see. Bangladesh’s apparel exports to India saw a steep climb during the July-March 2018 period – amounting to an increase of more than double. As per BGMEA data, apparel export to India saw an increase of 111 per cent (on a point-to- point basis) in this time period. In monetary terms, the total apparel export amounted to US $ 218 million, what was US $ 97 million at the same time last year, while as per Bangladesh’s Export Promotion Bureau, between July and December last year, garment shipments to India increased 5.99 per cent year-on-year to fetch US $ 111.33 million. From category perspective, the top five products to be exported to India are Trousers, Shirts, T-shirts, Jackets & Blazers and Sweaters. An analysis of the needs of the Indian market indicates that Bangladesh is filling a gap in those product categories that Indian manufacturers have failed to be competitive in. A closer look at these categories in terms of market size indicates that the potential for further growth is still huge.