Apparel June 2019 Apparel June 2019 | Page 58

INDUSTRY INSIGHTS A MAJOR REALITY OF BREXIT IS THAT IT IS AN ANTI-EMIGRANT POLICY BUILT ON XENOPHOBIC AND RADICALISED POLITICAL SENTIMENTS. THIS MAKES IT VERY HARD FOR THE SOCIAL CLIMATE TO BE OPEN AND WELCOMING TO INDIAN BUSINESSES AND PEOPLE. free market. With Brexit, this incentive is no longer at play, forcing Indian businesses to reconsider their choices. Currently, more than 800 Indian companies operate in the UK, and employ over 1,10,000 people but the reality of a no-deal Brexit has already begun to erode their position. Most recently, the Tata Group, one of the largest Indian businesses in the UK, began scaling down its operations. The biggest hit was the Tata Motors-owned Jaguar Land Rover, which is the largest British car-making operation. Companies such as Rolta, Bharti 52 I APPAREL I June 2019 Enterprises, Aegis Outsourcing, and many pharmaceutical companies are other major firms that have invested in the UK and are now in the reconsideration phase. This is due to many reasons related to Brexit, such as the falling power of the pound and the subsequent socio- political impacts. A major reality of Brexit is that it is an anti- emigrant policy built on xenophobic and radicalised political sentiments. This makes it very hard for the social climate to be open and welcoming to Indian businesses and people. And while there may be an opportunity for financial deals that improve trade terms, it is unlikely that it will enable Indian businesses to truly integrate with the national climate in the UK. Given this reality, the practical choice for Indian businesses is to emphasise on exports and favourable trade terms which tilt the balance of trade in India’s favour. This, however, is still a challenge as Indian imports of goods from the UK have skyrocketed (with a 19.3 per cent rise) in 2018. THE INDIA-EU POTENTIAL India and the EU have been in trade talks since 2007. Over the course of the last 12 years, the nature of these discussions has changed radically. The last moment for true development was in 2013, when discussions around an India- EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) fell apart after six years of planning. And for the longest time after that, the talks seemed to have stalled. However, in the wake of 2016, new possibilities emerged as the EU became more interested due to the UK’s departure and the on-going rise in the EU-India trade without an FTA in place over the previous 10 years. In fact, trade between the EU and India has nearly doubled over the last decade, establishing