Apparel July 2019 Apparel July 2019 issue | Page 74

CMAI’S APPAREL INDEX APPAREL NDEX At 1.71 points, the CMAI Index for Q4, January-March FY 2018–19, records the lowest growth in five years. CMAI’s Apparel Index for Q4 (January-March FY 2018–2019) clearly reflects that growth in the sector has been falling continuously for the past five years. The Annual Index value of FY 2018-19 has dipped to a scale of 1.71, the lowest ever in five years. Annual Year 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 Index Value 7.28 5.32 3.43 2.56 1.71 Comparatively, the Annual Index in FY 2017–18 was 2.56; in FY 2016–17, it was 3.43 points. Similarly in FY 2015–16, it was 5.32 points, and in FY 2014–15, it was 7.28 points. The table clearly shows how the index has been continuously falling over the years. FY 2018–19 was marked by a low business sentiment even during the festive season, which is perceived as the best time to make up for turnover losses, as buying is high at that time of the year. Except for the first quarter of FY 2018–19, the index values were much lower than comparable quarters in the previous fiscal (FY 2017–18). When asked about the reasons for the continuous fall in growth rate in the last five years, Rahul Mehta, President, CMAI, said that the industry needs to understand the changes in the overall scenario, such as the change in spending behaviour; earlier, people used to save money and expend on their wants, and fashion was one of them, whereas today’s generation has to take care of so many other expenses that include rented accommodation, Equated Monthly Instalments (EMIs), etc; so the budget available for fashion- and apparel- buying is going down. The buying behaviour of the youth itself is changing. They are spending far more on electronic gadgets and entertainment. Also, with cash liquidity dropping, impulse buying is affected. One more important aspect—since the Average Selling Price (ASP) of most apparel products has been dropping over the years, the growth in value seems to be impacted. GROWTH DIPS IN Q4 FY 2018-19 TOO CMAl’s Q4 Apparel Index touched 1.55 points, 64 I APPAREL I July 2019 a clear reflection of low growth, compared to the previous quarter, with an index of 1.87. Brand Group Giant Brands Large Brands Mid Brands Small Brands Q3 2018-2019 6.00 2.06 3.32 1.37 Q4 2018-2019 5.25 6.93 0.63 0.63 Brand Group-wise Apparel Index Comparison As earlier, Small Brands’ sales dipped this quarter, as shown in the table above, and Giant Brands at 5.25 points, too, reported a drop in growth, compared to the last quarter’s index figure of six points. Except Large Brands’ skyrocketing growth from 2.06 points in the previous quarter to 6.93 points in Q4, all other brand groups reported a dip over the last quarter. Big Brands (Mid, Large, and Giant together) have grown at 6.08 points, which is much more than the 3.52 points of the previous quarter. This is because they have been pushed ahead to reach 6.93 (over three times) from their previous quarter’s 2.06 points. Individually, Small and Mid Brands dipped badly, both to 0.63 from their previous quarter index values. Giant Brands, too, have lost growth at 5.25 from six points previously. SALES TURNOVER DOWN AS INVENTORY HOLDING GOES UP If sales turnovers were to be considered, the only parameter for determining the Apparel Index this quarter, the overall index would have reflected a growth of 0.52, which is lesser than the previous quarter’s 0.88. Around 39 per cent brands reported an increase in the sales turnover this quarter, as compared to 48 per cent in the previous quarter. French menswear brand Celio reported a positive sales turnover as Satyen Momaya, CEO, Celio, points out. “The increase in the sales turnover was due to our quality, and we worked on an auto-replenish model across our channels.” Similarly, lifestyle brand Monte Carlo gave a positive feedback as Mayank Jain, General Manager of the brand, explains. He says, “The reason for an increase in the sales turnover is that we had a strong and good winter. Weather conditions were good and winter lasted for a longer period.” Shitanshu Jhunjhunwala, Director, Turtle, adds, “The increase in the sales turnover was due