Analytics Magazine Analytics Magazine, March/April 2014 | Page 32

INFO RM AT IO N DE CAY media, companies are increasingly tapping multi-channel data sources to better understand the moments of truth in the customer lifecycle. They are tapping into these newer, richer sources for better customer insights, and in the process the information value of surveys is diminishing. The “efficient information hypothesis”: In finance, the efficient market hypothesis posits that the prices of traded assets reflect all the available information. As the access to information increases, its value decays. This information decay is accelerating at an unprecedented rate, thanks to technology. A case in point is competitive pricing. Once upon a time, not very long ago, competitive pricing strategies kept scores of managers busy in organizations. And then came the Internet and with it, website scraping, which has given organizations the ability to track real-time changes to competitor prices. Big data technologies allow multiple retailers to dissect every price change in the ecosystem in near real time, sucking away any possible arbitrage opportunity. In other words, the Internet has accelerated the information decay rate of competitive pricing. Another situation that is all too familiar for city dwellers is traffic information. As real-time information about traffic flows (or more likely snarls) becomes available, this triggers a bandwagon effect 32 | A N A LY T I C S - M A G A Z I N E . O R G of redirecting the traffic to the hitherto unclogged routes, sucking them to the gridlock as well. The value of the traffic information comes down, and the speed with which this information is distributed determines its rate of information decay. The “observer effect”: One of the more esoteric concepts in quantum physics, this refers to the changes that the very act of observation cause when any phenomenon is being observed. This is well known in stock markets – often, the very act of an analyst initiating coverage of a relatively unknown stock brings attention to the stock. And more eyes on the stock can change the dynamics of the stock, altering the information decay of the stock price. Until, of course, the efficient market hypothesis kicks in and brings the stock back to its natural levels. WHY DOES INFORMATION DECAY MATTER? Data is the “new oil” of the 21st century, and companies are fast accumulating data assets. Organizations need to invest in extracting the true value from data by institutionalizing a culture of data-driven decision-making. As they embark on this journey, managers would do well to recognize that the value of data, like any asset, depreciates over time. To begin with, any data governance process should have a strong data value W W W. I N F O R M S . O R G