Analysis and Approaches for IBDP Maths Ebook 1 | Page 249

Front Page 81 Paper 2 Section A – Setting up probability equations Example Let A and B be independent events, with P( A) � k and P( B) 2 2 � k , where 0 < k < 0.5. (a) Write down an expression for P( A� B) in terms of k . (b) Given that P( A� B)=0.054 , find k . (c) Find P( A� | B) . [2] [2] [3] Solution (a) P( A� B) �P( A) � P( B) 2 �k� 2k (A1) for substitution 3 � 2k A1 N2 (b) 3 2k � 0.054 (A1) for correct equation 3 k � 0.027 k � 0.3 A1 N2 (c) P( B) � P( A� B) � P( A� � B) 2 2(0.3) � 0.054 � P( A� � B) (A1) for substitution P( A��B) � 0.126 P( A� | B) P( A�� B) � P( B) 0.126 � 2 2(0.3) (A1) for substitution � 0.7 A1 N2 [2] [2] [3] 18 www.seprodstore.com 241