AGC San Diego CONSTRUCTOR Magazine 2018 - Volume 1 AGCSD CONSTRUCTOR 2018 Volume 1 | Page 14

union-backed candidates get into office. We have also seen large private sector jobs impacted by the “Permit Extortion” schemes; some with success - some, not so much. The Chula Vista Gaylord Bayfront project was made economically infeasible with the increased labor cost, and the 2016 Chargers’ stadium initiative went down to defeat after a handshake deal for a PLA was announced with the Building Trades Council – effectively shutting out 80% of the county's construction market and giving Chargers fans one more reason to vote “no.” If the trend towards forced unionization continues, it would be easy to foresee a time when San Diego looks more like the Los Angeles market – where, coincidentally, most PLA union subcontractors journey from to meet the requirements of some San Diego school districts. However, a pending Supreme Court ruling could impact the way the state, local municipalities, and school districts are governed. The “Janus” case threatens to end automatic public-sector union dues, which are a large source of Democratic political donations. They also provide the political clout to help the private sector Building Trades Unions push through their anti-competitive 14 AGCSD.ORG measures. Nationwide, the Building Trades combined spend around $40 million on political contributions each election, a fraction of the $100 million spent by Public Sector Unions, including teachers. Post Janus, the loss of public sector unions political power is likely to cause a reversal of the trend towards government-mandated or coerced PLAs. The Building Trades, like their partners in the public sector, would likely return to their roots of training, organizing and unionizing contractors the old-fashioned way - for better or for worse… Beyond 2028 Writing a “future” article is always risky. How loud will readers laugh in 2028 at references to Uber and Lyft, or cars for that matter? Perhaps, the always promised jetpack will finally be introduced by then… That being said, unless there is a major diversion from the current path, the three trends in Housing, Transportation, and Organized Labor are undeniable. The next ten years will see a continued rise in construction of multi-family housing and mixed-use commercial in bike and pedestrian-friendly neighborhoods, near transit hubs that incorporate new technology – like ride sharing from the Hyperloop. Google it.