FINANCE FORUM •
COMMODITIES TRADING TO SURGE AS SUPER CYCLE KICKS IN
Edited by Leon Louw
Industrial metals and precious metals will see the biggest rises , investors believe . freepik . com
Professional investors are forecasting a surge in commodities trading over the next 12 months as the so-called commodity super cycle takes effect , new global research from blockchain-based derivatives trading platform CloseCross shows .
Its research among professional investors around the world responsible for around USD380-billion in assets under management , found 84 % expect the level of trading in commodities to increase in the year ahead with 29 % forecasting a substantial increase .
A key driver is that 81 % of them believe markets are entering a commodity super cycle where commodities trade above their long-term price trend for decades-long periods , the study for CloseCross , which is regulated under MIFID II rules found .
The professional investors , who include hedge funds , wealth managers , institutional investors , fund managers and IFAs , point to a boom in government spending worldwide as economies recover from the Covid-19 pandemic as the biggest reason for the commodity super cycle .
About 80 % highlight government spending while 77 % point to bets on the greening of the world economy lifting commodity prices and 61 % believe strong demand from China is fuelling the super cycle .
The weakness of the US dollar was cited by 53 % while 29 % point to low interest rates as a reason .
Around a third ( 32 %) believe industrial metals will see the biggest price rises over the year ahead while 27 % say precious metals will be the biggest price winners , the study for CloseCross which enables traders to generate profits through a simplified three clicks process of selecting an asset , predicting price-bracket ( s ), and committing funds to these predictions , for a variety of asset classes including crypto , stocks , indexes , commodities , and forex pairings .
However , 22 % believe the biggest price rises will be seen in oil while 13 % forecast strong growth in natural gas prices and 7 % point to agriculture as the best sector .
According to CloseCross CEO Vaibhav Kadikar , commodities trading is set to surge over the next 12 months and the predictions of a commodity super cycle are driving increasing interest in markets .
“ Professional investors are split over which commodities will see the biggest price rises over the year ahead and it could also be difficult for retail investors to forecast the sectors likely to benefit . At CloseCross we will be providing the retail traders contracts on both Gold and Silver , which will undoubtedly see interesting trades .”
CloseCross is regulated under MIFID II rules offering increased protection and transparency for customers . Unlike other trading platforms , there are no participation fees for using CloseCross , and its patented multiparty model ensures that leverage is not needed to achieve potentially outsized returns .
Money placed on incorrect predictions is lost , but you never lose more than what you put in as there is no leverage needed or possible on the platform . Users pay facilitation fees , only on their winning trades , giving them significant savings when compared to traditional trading platforms .
The platform also provides real-time data on the predictions of other traders enabling investors to make a more informed forecast based on increased transparency . People can choose to follow the crowd or go on their own views .
Investors can try a demo and subject to appropriateness assessment process , investors can sign-up at www . closecross . com , and trade by selecting an asset class and making a forecast over a time frame of a few hours or over months . •
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African Mining • September 2021 • 33 |