COUNTRY IN FOCUS •
NAMIBIA – A SOLID PROSPECT FOR INVESTORS
By Sharyn Macnamara
Photo by Alan J . Hendry on Unsplash
Although Namibia is the driest country in sub-Saharan Africa , which poses significant challenges , it is rich in mineral resources with unexploited diamond and uranium deposits , and battery metals mining potential drawing investor interest .
Namibia remains one of the more enticing mining investment jurisdictions in Africa due to solid infrastructure , openness to trade and a strong legal framework , 1 notwithstanding having to traverse the very necessary challenge of delicately balancing indigenisation with investment attraction .
Namibia is a geographically large country with a small population of around 2.6 million ( 2021 ). 2 Although Namibia is the driest country in sub-Saharan Africa – which poses significant challenges – it is rich in mineral resources with unexploited diamond and uranium deposits and battery metals mining potential drawing investor interest . 3 advanced by 5.6 % year-on-year , following an upwardly revised 6.5 % rise in the previous period . It was the fifth consecutive quarter of expansion – mainly driven by the key mining and quarrying sector ( 29.4 % vs 21.3 % in Q1 ) with the biggest contribution from the diamond mining subsector ( 53.7 %), followed by metal ores ( 26.4 %) and uranium ( 3.7 %) subsectors . 4
In addition , the country has a 1 500km-long coastline on the South Atlantic and borders South Africa , Angola and land-locked Botswana and Zambia . Its location is , on the one hand , a strength with well-developed ports making the country a strategic partner for neighbours . However , on the other hand , its location means that global and regional developments are important drivers of Namibia ’ s economic performance , as well as fiscal and external positions , as Namibia is highly susceptible to and reliant on commodity exports and Southern African Customs Union ( SACU ) transfers . The World bank highlights that recently , “ The twin shocks of the pandemic and spillovers from the war in Ukraine have negatively affected socio-economic progress .” 3
Economic trajectory According to the World Bank , “ Leading up to 2015 , Namibia ’ s economy experienced strong growth , averaging nearly 5 % annually , fuelled by investment and enabled by prudent economic management . However , growth stagnated from 2016 onwards , and three of the last five years have been marked by recession , with a sharp contraction in 2020 amid the COVID-19 crisis .” 4 Before the pandemic , the growth slowdown was caused by severe drought , lower commodity prices , reduced public investment , weaker growth in neighbouring countries and structural rigidities .
However , since the pandemic , Namibia has seen significant improvements and in the second quarter of 2022 the economy
The economy was projected to grow by 2.6 % in 2021 and 3.3 % in 2022 , on the back of a steady recovery in the mining sector , financial services , tourism , retail and wholesale trade – combined with an improvement in the regional and global economic environment . 5
Mining core to Namibian economy In an interview with African Mining at the Investing in African Mining Indaba earlier this year , Honourable Tom Alweendo , minister of Mines and Energy of Namibia , pointed out that mining and quarrying are core to the Namibian economy and account for between 9 and 15 % of Namibia ’ s GDP annually . The minister said that this number fluctuates , and notes that diamonds , uranium and zinc are the lead commodities , the total mining and quarrying contribution was pegged at 11 % in February 2022 , at the time of the interview . 6 ( See historical stats below supplied by the Ministry of Mines and Energy ( MME ) to give an indication of the weighting of commodities as a percentage of the total 9.1 % contribution in 2021 ).
Industry |
2021 |
Mining and quarrying ( total ) |
9.1 |
Diamond mining |
3.0 |
Uranium |
1.8 |
Metal Ores |
3.6 |
Other mining and quarrying |
0.8 |
www . africanmining . co . za African Mining Publication African Mining African Mining • October 2023 • 13