African Mining African Mining Outlook 2020: Mining Indaba Preview | Page 9

MINING INDABA  in the investment framework, including the Zimbabwean mining laws. The announcement that the act will be repealed means that the restrictions, including in relation to diamond and platinum mining companies, will be done away with, and hopefully open up investment opportunities, for Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe will however also need to radically overhaul its mining laws, to attract further investment, including in respect of an ageing and crumbling infrastructure. It can do so by amending its policy and regulatory framework so that it supports investment, while benefitting the Zimbabwean people. African countries that can create a legal landscape with the least amount of red tape, are likely to attract more extensive investment. In Uganda, for example, there are no restrictions on foreign investment in mining, provided the mining activities benefit the local communities. This has attracted large investment from companies such as Rio Tinto, and in the third quarter of 2018, Uganda recorded and all-time high in terms of its GDP from mining. Botswana is another example where, because of its legislative framework, mining companies believe that they are able to function effectively and efficiently. About 40% of the GDP of Botswana is a result of mining, and this is mostly due to the relatively certain policy and regulatory environment. Rwanda has more recently made amendments to its mining laws and regulations in a bid to attract foreign investment, which is aimed at promoting partnerships between foreign investment companies and local companies. The new mining laws were introduced in Rwanda in 2018, and it is still too early to tell whether these new laws will attract the expected investment. Which regulatory risks should mining companies and suppliers that venture into Africa be aware of? How should they go about mitigating these risks before entering that country? The most important thing that mining companies can do, before investing in a country, and to mitigate the risks, is to have a proper understanding of the relevant landscape in the relevant country – there has to be a realistic view, and expectations must be managed accordingly. What is absolutely critical to successful investment is to have a good understanding of the community landscape. Unless mining companies invest and develop mines in such a way that they are granted the social license to mine, investors and the mining companies can expect to face lengthy delays, and disruption to the implementation of the project, and, once the mine is up and running, disruption to mining operations, including getting the minerals to market. Community activism is extensive, and potentially disruptive. This can be avoided by not only identifying the need to engage with communities, but also to understand the needs and wants of particular communities (social and socio-economic projects cannot simply be implemented without understanding what the needs and wants of the community are), and delivering on promises made. For example, it is not simply good enough to build a structure for a school – everything that is required to make the school function properly, must also be provided, such as furniture, IT, qualified teachers, and proper administration and funding. Recent cases in South Africa (Duduzile Baleni and Others, and the Minister of Mineral Resources and Others, and Grace Masele Mpane Maledu and Others, and Itereleng Bakgatla Minerals Resources (Pty) Ltd and Others) have also highlighted the importance of understanding decision–making structures within communities www. africanmining.co.za African Mining Publication and the acknowledgement that, different communities have different decision making structures and requirements. These principles also apply elsewhere in Africa. Hidden costs of implementing mining projects must also be considered. These hidden costs may come in the form of additional taxes, import and export duties, exchange control regulations, regulations around which minerals can be sold, and to whom, and the often-extensive costs involved in complying with a particular country’s mining laws. Investors and mining companies should also be mindful of the additional costs incurred as a result of delays, particularly where the processes contemplated in the mining laws, are not complied with, properly, or at all, because they are not understood properly. Where do you see the African mining industry in the next year or two? Which countries or regions in Africa will be the hotspots and why? Will West Africa continue attracting the majors and exploration companies? Will East Africa become attractive again? Most, if not all the African countries that are mineral rich, face the challenge of having a dual mining system: namely a formal mining sector; and an informal (small scale an artisanal) mining sector. Often, the two are not aligned, and therefore clash. While formal or large-scale miners cannot always be said to comply with the mining laws (including the environmental laws) in a country, it is often the artisanal and small-scale miners that flout the mining and environmental laws, essentially, making them illegal miners. This must, however, be distinguished from the true illegal mining activities which are carried out, often, side by side with lawful mining operations at existing mines, where the illegal miners are facilitated by those employed in the formal or legal mining sector, and at abandoned mines. This is likely to be a significant challenge to the mining sector, within Africa generally, and it is necessary to regularise the small scale and artisanal mining, and the true illegal miners by creating regulatory frameworks which facilitate easy access, administration and management. This may not be easy. In certain instances, the small scale and artisanal mining forms part of a greater corrupt and criminal network, often supported by members of government, protected by the defense force and police services in that country. The reality is that Africa is a mineral resource-rich continent, including battery minerals, and there will always be investors who are willing to take the risks, regardless of the level of uncertainty. Africa is therefore likely to continue seeing significant investment in the mining and natural resources sector and, out of necessity, the infrastructure which ultimately supports getting the mineral to market. 2020 is likely to see further investments in countries such as Angola, Uganda, Rwanda, and Egypt, based on the view (and possible perception), that these countries still offer a good return on investment. Growth and development of the mining sector in Africa is heavily dependent on exploration spend. Exploration is high risk, with low return, and African countries will need to create incentivised frameworks which encourage investment on exploration. African Mining African Mining  January 2020  35