AAA White Paper The political economy of informal events, 2030 | Page 47

2. GROSS VALUE ADDED, JOBS, PRODUCTIVITY It is hard to put a definite figure on the Gross Value Added (GVA) to the UK economy strictly by events. According to UK Music, an umbrella group for commercial music, live music contributes a GVA of £1bn. As Chart 12 shows overleaf, that’s a good 10 per cent of the DCMS figure of about £10bn for the total value added by music, performing and visual arts, whether by means of events or by other activities. Chart 12 includes DCMS figures for the GVA by sport. Interestingly, the Gross Value Added to the UK by sport is very comparable with that added by music, performing arts and visual arts. Totting up, in Chart 12, the 2017 GVA of music, performing arts and visual arts, as well as sport, shows that, in total, they contribute more than one per cent of the UK’s GVA. Better still, the GVA of these sectors has risen much faster, since 2010, than total UK GVA. How much of that above-average record is based upon the value added specifically by events? That’s difficult to answer. What we can say, comparing Chart 12’s evidence on GVA with that given by Chart 13, overleaf, on jobs, is that in music, performing arts and visual arts, and sport, GVA growth has been double jobs growth. At the same time, jobs in these sectors have multiplied faster than jobs in the UK as a whole: at triple that rate (the arts), or double it (sport). Admittedly DCMS statistics for GVA cover 2010-17, while those that the DCMS has for jobs growth cover 2011-7 – a shorter period. Still, the point holds good: in music, performing arts and visual arts, GVA rose by 68.6 per cent, 2010-17; jobs, by 32.5 per cent, 2011-7. In sport, the figures are 40 and 18.3 per cent. Music, performing arts and visual arts, together with sport, have added a significant number of posts to their payroll, but even more value to the UK economy. Given the UK’s perennial problem of low productivity, this is a great achievement. The arts and sport have been recruiting, but have 47 or bread and circuses. Juvenal lampooned voters for neglecting their political power and civic duties in their dash to ‘escape all cares’. His successors poked fun at the authorities for using cheap events to placate, distract and buy off the broad masses – and this kind of critique is still made, rightly or wrongly, today. Viewed this way, informal events won’t necessarily always get dearer. Indeed, recessionary trends and greater competition might cheapen the events market just as much as they broaden it. Is, then, Britain’s market for informal events likely to grow coarser, and not simply more refined, by 2030? That’s possible, but the authorities should not overreact. Like many other pastimes, the desire to escape the humdrum through events, and thus gain a sense of belonging mixed with personal abandon – this is only human. For the people to act responsibly around the informal events of 2030, then, the relevant authorities need themselves also to act responsibly. They should trust the people.