2018 CCF Victorian Infrastructure Outlook Report 1 | Page 43

Figure 3.5 Engineering Construction Work Done (Excluding Mining and Heavy Industry Construction), Private Sector Funded, Victoria, $Billion, 2014/15 Prices Source: BIS Oxford Economics, ABS data Rising infrastructure spending brings capacity and capability risks – and need for planning As discussed in previous sections of this Report, while total construction activity in Victoria will be sustained at very high levels overall (before easing late this decade as residential building work subsides) relatively stronger growth is anticipated in key infrastructure segments including roads, railways, electricity and (in the near term) telecommunications with the ongoing rollout of the NBN. Furthermore, this experience is not limited to Victoria, with BIS Oxford Economics forecasting rising civil infrastructure construction activity in other states and territories, particularly New South Wales, with new public investment the main driver. In recent years, Victoria’s construction industry has mostly (though not entirely) been able to avoid capacity and capability constraints by tapping into spare capacity in skills and equipment from states such as Western Australia and Queensland as the mining investment boom subsided. However, with civil construction activity (excluding oil and gas work) stabilising (and then picking up) in these states over the next five years – and New South Wales civil work expected to remain hot – Victoria will need to implement a range of strategies across construction skills and training, ensuring adequate equipment and materials supply, and developing construction logistics and transport solutions to avoid bottlenecks and constraints in the delivery of work and materials to and from construction sites. Increasing levels of civil infrastructure investment across Australia is expected, in turn, to increase demands for key materials and skills in the civil construction industry. 43